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FDI in Retail: A new battleground

22 December 2011 7 Comments

In the year 1977 Coca-Cola exited the Indian soft drink market. As soon as the giant left, others came out to play. Mohan Meakins, Modern Bakers, Pure Drink; Companies you won’t even recognize today, and brands you might have never heard of ruled the Indian soft drink market from 1977-1988. Why today, soft drink brands ‘Double-7’, ‘Mary & Puck up’ or ‘Thrill’ doesn’t make any sense to us?, Why today, we don’t even know that McDowell’s at one point of time owned three different soft drink brands. It is because in 1988 and 1993, two companies entered the Indian market, which swept the competition clean. These two companies own more than 96% of the market today, and most of the soft drink brands that played the field in 1977-1988, are either extinct or owned by either of the big two. Was this good or bad is a judgment call, it was definitely bad for the small Indian companies, and they are not lying when they say it was unfair that a company from a developed country; owning all the resources and technology, must not be allowed to compete with us, it will be an unfair competition. We studied a concept in physics called a “Frame of reference”, the frame of reference is a set of axes within which to measure the position, orientation, and other properties of objects in it. At that point of time, the frame of reference for most of the Indian soft drink companies was the Indian market, while for Coca-cola and Pepsi the frame of reference was the whole world.
This is what we are facing today, the frame of reference for the Indian modern retail space, is the Indian modern retail space only, the competitors fight between themselves to earn a chunk of the market share. But what will happen when a bigger player, big enough to disturb the harmony with which the Indian companies have been operating today, enters the Indian market? It will be unfair again to the existing local players, the MT stores and the kirana stores, but that does not mean that we continue functioning at our levels of mediocrity when we know that a better player is out there, who is experienced and is perhaps the best in the business, way better than the existing players, waiting for an opportunity to enter the market and change the rules of the game. Why do I say they are better? Let’s simply see a comparison.

What does a consumer look for in a retail store?
• Low prices
• Broader choices
• Quality of the product
• Quality of service

We, Indians know the value of the first point. Walmart’s USP might hit at the very core of the common Indian expectation. Wal-mart is the master of the well known concept “Economies of scale”, its concept of ‘EDLP’, “Every day low price”, makes it the King of modern retail. Wal-mart’s strategy is full-proof, one cannot compete with Wal-mart head on, Wal-mart’s size and reputation helps it achieve the lower price mark, as it purchases in volumes. Any competitor to compete head on will have to purchase in volumes greater than Wal-mart, which means overpowering a company whose revenue per year is greater than the economy of Sweden (23rd largest). Its highly sustainable model is the key to its success. The bigger they become, the greater is the barrier for the competition. There are two things which are very core to the company, it is the ‘secret formula’, only that it is widely known, and even knowing it doesn’t mean you can compete head on.

1. Buy directly from the manufacturers to keep down the cost (eliminating middlemen)
2. Purchase from a manufacturer only when you are sure that no one else will offer it at a lower price.

Walmart is a leader in discount retailing.Similarly, Carrefour, on the other hand follows a similar approach, and it operates in many forms of modern retail which are described below. Please note that Carrefour is the second largest retail group in the world.

Hypermarkets: Expansive retail facility carrying a wide range of products under one roof, including full groceries lines and general merchandise. In theory, hypermarkets allow customers to satisfy all their routine shopping needs in one trip

Supermarkets: A self-service store offering a wide variety of food and household merchandise, organized into departments

Cash and carry: A form of trade in which goods are sold from a wholesale warehouse operated either on a self-service basis, or on the basis of samples (with the customer selecting from specimen articles using a manual or computerized ordering system but not serving himself) or a combination of the two. Customers (retailers, professional users, caterers, institutional buyers, etc.) settle the invoice on the spot in cash, and carry the goods away themselves.

Discount: A type of department store, which sells products at prices lower than those asked by traditional retail outlets.

Convenience: A small store or shop in a built up area that stocks a range of everyday items such as groceries, toiletries, alcoholic and soft drinks, and may also offer money order and wire transfer services. They differ from general stores and village shops in that they are not in a rural location, and are used as a convenient supplement to the main shopping rather than being the main store. A convenience store may form part of gas/petrol stations.

Big Bazaar (The retail giant in India) rules the retailing sector in India, owned by the Future group; it is one of the flourishing arms of the Kishore Biyani enterprise. Carrefour has already opened two cash & carry stores in alliance with the future group, in India. (Reference), And Walmart is already present in India with its nine cash & carry stores after an alliance with the Bharti enterprises.

So the question is why such a ruckus when the retail giants are already operating within the country?

The answer according to the opposition parties is that the retail giants will crush the small and helpless kirana stores. It may be true to some extent, if Walmart opens a discount store in India, people may prefer it over the kirana stores owing to the low price points. But wasn’t the same question raised when Reliance fresh was launched? The big brains predicted that it will kill the livelihood of farmers, but still they exist in harmony. The traditional Indian women prefers to purchase it fresh, first hand from the ‘sabzi mandi’, while others who prefer shopping experience over anything, prefer Reliance Fresh.

And the same may be the case for Walmart, Walmart or Carrefour’s discount stores are located far away from the city owing to the large warehouses. So even if a percentage of the population will prefer purchasing their monthly household by making a trip downtown, for every other need they will return back to the good old kirana store. Obviously the Kirana store will have to suffer, like it did once when big bazaar and other indigenous stores opened. But ‘going extinct’ is a long way to go for the kirana stores.
Maybe an increase in competition will motivate the kirana stores to improvise, increase their product offerings, service quality etc. Just denying entry to the competitor to protect the interests of kirana stores is wrong. Maybe, the government must make the change more gradual, allowing few modern retail giant’s stores to open at first so that the kirana stores have enough time to adapt to the change. But totally denying the entry is wrong, everybody knows that it’s a rat race, but the pace of progress is defined by the speed of the fastest rat.

ShashankAbhishek Kumar is a PGDM (2010) student at IIM Calcutta. He is a tech junkie and always wonders what he is doing in an MBA institute. Marketing has always kept his hopes alive. He has a dream of conquering the world through advertisements. Designing is his passion. Write to him at abhishekk2012@email.iimcal.ac.in

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  • Anonymous

    Partha,

    A very positive way to look at FDI in India. Also I think maybe we are getting a proper structure on the issue. That was the whole point of writing this article to start this discussion. So I am only taking your points and categorizing them

    Advantages

    - Employment
    - Better utilization of base products hence reduction in food inflation

    Concerns / Barriers

    - location of the store
    - Diverse consumer profile of the country

    Although I did not know where to put the Assam thing. Its not that the existent retail stores are ignorant of them, had that been a fact, the cuisines and handicraft items could be seen in any of the Big Bazaars of India. I consider it more of a threat. With the highly standardized approach of the Walmarts and the Ikeas … The consumer will get a better value of these local stores when it comes to products customized to the region.

    Also I would like to encourage the discussion on the Advantages and Concerns/barriers. I am sure we can come up with a lot more to do justice to this topic :)

  • Dheerajak20

    nice article sir.

  • Partha Basumatary

    Right… and there are far many better dimensions to the ‘FDI in retail’ story. Greater investments will positively impact Indian consumerism. We will have stronger and better supply chains which will decrease the loss of fresh farm produces, thereby reducing food inflation. Investments in supply chain will create more jobs for young people which will reduce unemployment. Those young people could be sons and daughters of the distraught kirana walahs… Up and above that, there are a lot of products in India which do not reach the target customers due to a lack of proper platform. I will give you an example… I am from Assam. We have a lot of beautiful handicraft items, specialized Assam silk materials, orchids, food produces which can have great demand outside of Assam but people just don’t know about those items because of lack of availability in the markets outside. If FDI in retail can provide a platform for those products to be sold to customers everywhere across the country, there is nothing better than that.

    However, I also believe that WalMart and the likes will have to customize their offerings to suit the Indian market. In a city like Mumbai, if they open WalMart outside of Vashi, then no one from the suburbs will go and buy… It may still work for people staying in NCR or Bangalore or Hyderabad to an extent. But yeah the government and opposition parties should stop playing politics and open the sector up… Damn!

  • http://www.vichaar-dhara.blogspot.com Rakesh Thakur

    @Abhishek : Appreciate your efforts buddy!
    I would also like to share my perspective on the article.We can definitely allow Wal-mart & the likes to enter into India and at the same time the government can have its own regulations e.g. In the recent FDI bill (which has been on hold unfortunately) the government stated it very clearly that they will have the first hand when it comes to the procurement of raw material/farm produce. Countries like China which allowed 100% FDI in all kind of retail have benefited to a great extent and time to time the government has imposed their regulations on the foreign players to protect the interest of the domestic players.The same way we can also proceed with it.
    Secondly looking at the western countries where the share of organised retail is more than 60% in the US and more than 40% in Europe the farmers get around 2/3rd of the pice paid by the consumer whereas In India it is 1/3rd.If India has to grow. everybody will agree that we need to focus on the rural sector.
    Thirdly, the pace at which the world is getting digitized a decade after most of the grocery store purchase will be done on the e-stores rather than the brick & mortar.E-tailing (99labels, sosata.com,yebhi.com) is going to be the next trend and the sooner we appreciate and accept it the lesser shock will be there to absorb.

  • Abhishek

    @Ajay: Awesome point dude!
    That is a totally different take on the issue, and I thank you for bringing that to our attention.

    Its true that farmers in India suffer a lot, the farmer suicide rate being 78% to the total number of suicides in 2008. It will increase the pressure on the farmers further. With the government turning a deaf ear to the pleas, and most of the rural welfare schemes biting dust in the government offices, It would be a long shot to say that the backbone of Indian economy will flourish with the entry of Modern retail giants. I don’t know how this will work out whether we should wait for the rural sector to strengthen or allow FDI in retail and worsen the condition of the Indian farmers.

    If only a proper system can be at place which can grant the fair share to the farmers, like the e-choupal initiative by ITC.

    Also, on other front, the prices are anyway cheaper in India compared to in most of the countries. So I think that if Walmart enters India and follows the same structure, in order to compete with the current Indian modern retail industry,it wont have to push the farmer’s margins that much. If that happens then their entry will help only in increasing the volumes, hence more sale for the farmer at the existing farmer’s share. What’s your take on this ?

    @Santanoo: Thanx man ..

  • Santanoo Bhattacharjee

    A great analysis made. Worth Reading.

  • Ajay Khanchandani

    Nice article again Abhishek.
    But I would like to differ with the conclusion. the main reason being given to allow FDI in retail is that it would benefit the farmers by eliminating the middlemen as it will optimize the overall supply chain. The ‘optimizing the supply chain’ argument does hold ground without a semblance of doubt but there definitely are question marks over ‘benefiting the farmers and small producers’
    Global experience tells us an altogether different story.
    For example: In the US, the farmer’s share in the consumer’s price has declined from 52 per cent in 1996 to 38 per cent in 2009, while in the UK it has declined from 56 per cent in 1996 to 38 per cent in 2009.
    However, in India, the milk producer gets more than 70 per cent of the consumer’s rupee on an average. Moreover, the milk producer affiliated to co-operatives get more than 80 per cent share of the consumer’s rupee.
    From a manufacturers’ perspective, the organised retail trade tends to be monopolistic. The access to market to brands often comes at a heavy price to be paid by the producer.
    There is pressure on margins as the big stores try to squeeze every penny that they can from the small producers/farmers/manufacturers.
    The terms of the trade dictated by many of these players are not even heard of in India such as short credit period, huge listing fees for products, reluctance to increase prices for as high as six months among others.
    Some of the insights are personal while for others the.
    Data Source is:
    http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/industry-and-economy/agri-biz/article2687070.ece?homepage=true&ref=wl_home